<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="yes"?><rss version="2.0" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Backtesting on 111qqz的小窝</title><link>https://111qqz.com/tags/backtesting/</link><description>Recent content in Backtesting on 111qqz的小窝</description><generator>Hugo -- gohugo.io</generator><language>zh-cn</language><managingEditor>hust.111qqz@gmail.com (111qqz)</managingEditor><webMaster>hust.111qqz@gmail.com (111qqz)</webMaster><copyright>© 2011-2026 111qqz</copyright><lastBuildDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 20:00:00 +0800</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://111qqz.com/tags/backtesting/index.xml" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><item><title>预测正确，策略为何仍可能亏钱？——从 Markout 到执行感知回测</title><link>https://111qqz.com/2026/10/execution-aware-backtesting/</link><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 20:00:00 +0800</pubDate><author>hust.111qqz@gmail.com (111qqz)</author><guid>https://111qqz.com/2026/10/execution-aware-backtesting/</guid><description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://111qqz.com/2026/10/bid-ask-spread-adverse-selection/" &gt;上一篇&lt;/a&gt;写到，预测对价格方向，不等于交易能赚钱。主动成交要付执行成本，挂单等成交又可能筛出对自己不利的行情。&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;顺着这个问题往下想，我还有一个疑问：如果把手续费算进去，回测里也只让一部分挂单成交，是不是就离真实收益很近了？&lt;/p&gt;</description></item></channel></rss>